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Consensus Study Report: Consensus Study Reports published by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine document the evidence-based consensus on the study’s statement of task by an authoring committee of experts. Reports typically include findings, conclusions, and recommendations based on information gathered by the committee and the committee’s deliberations. Each report has been subjected to a rigorous and independent peer-review process and it represents the position of the National Academies on the statement of task.
ContributorsNational Research Council; Division on Earth and Life Studies; Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate; Committee on Stabilization Targets for Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations
Emissions of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels have ushered in a new epoch where human activities will largely determine the evolution of Earth's climate. Because carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is long lived, it can effectively lock the Earth and future generations into a range of impacts, some of which could become very severe. Emissions reductions decisions made today matter in determining impacts experienced not just over the next few decades, but in the coming centuries and millennia.
According to Climate Stabilization Targets: Emissions, Concentrations, and Impacts Over Decades to Millennia, important policy decisions can be informed by recent advances in climate science that quantify the relationships between increases in carbon dioxide and global warming, related climate changes, and resulting impacts, such as changes in streamflow, wildfires, crop productivity, extreme hot summers, and sea level rise. One way to inform these choices is to consider the projected climate changes and impacts that would occur if greenhouse gases in the atmosphere were stabilized at a particular concentration level. The book quantifies the outcomes of different stabilization targets for greenhouse gas concentrations using analyses and information drawn from the scientific literature. Although it does not recommend or justify any particular stabilization target, it does provide important scientific insights about the relationships among emissions, greenhouse gas concentrations, temperatures, and impacts.
Climate Stabilization Targets emphasizes the importance of 21st century choices regarding long-term climate stabilization. It is a useful resource for scientists, educators and policy makers, among others.
- Earth Sciences — Climate, Weather and Meteorology
- Environment and Environmental Studies — Climate Change
Suggested CitationNational Research Council. 2011. Climate Stabilization Targets: Emissions, Concentrations, and Impacts over Decades to Millennia. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/12877.
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Publication Info298 pages | 7 x 10
- Paperback: 978-0-309-15176-4
- Ebook: 978-0-309-20893-2
RESOURCES AT A GLANCE
Table of Contentsskim chapterFront Matter i-xii Section I 1-2 Synopsis 3-10 Summary 11-28 Overview of Climate Changes and Illustrative Impacts 29-46 Section II 47-48 1 Introduction 49-58 2 Emissions, Concentrations, and Related Factors 59-82 3 Global Mean Temperature Responses 83-104 4 Physical Climate Change in the 21st Century 105-158 5 Impacts in the Next Few Decades and Coming Centuries 159-216 6 Beyond the Next Few Centuries 217-234 References 235-268 Appendix A: Statement of Task 269-270 Appendix B: Committee Membership 271-278 Appendix C: Methods 279-282 Appendix D: Acronym List 283-286 Resources
- Presentation from public briefing
- Download Warming World: Impacts by Degree A free booklet based on Climate Stabilization Targets.
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